A 2011 FTC study suggests 99% of all MLM representatives from 350 MLMs lose money. But I became very intrigued into how this research was carried out as it's quite a bold claim.
Was it really that accurate?
After all, other research suggests that 73% of MLM members lose money.
And here's a quote from the FTC research...
"MLMs make gambling look like a safe bet".
Is it just me or do you feel like there is some sort of bias from Jon Taylor (the guy who produced this research)?
Now, I'm not saying that I am "for" MLMs and I completely agree with many of the points he makes in the study. You just need to compare the difference between Affiliate Marketing vs MLMs to see the issues in the business model.
Previous flaws in research
However, there are some clear flaws I found in previous research:
- Assumptions are made about the members annual expenses
- Estimating drop out rates (sometimes pressuming as low as a 5% annual retention rate)
- The profit/ loss calculation multiplied the final number by 0.1 to account for previous years drop out rates.
- Many MLM members earn income from purchasing products and selling them on in person. This income cannot be shared in income disclosures as there is no way to track this.
Now, I don't deny the thinking here. There is proof that 90% of all MLM members drop out within the first 5 years of joining. Nevertheless, some of those who have dropped out will have made a profit, even if it was small.
Also, it's likely that some of the active members not making profit in the current disclosure will make profit in the future. But there is no way for us to know what these figures will be.
Therefore, I personally think it's only fair to go off the current stats produced by the MLMs to avoid biased presumptions.